Bobcats Chronicles

How a young NBA franchise gets it going

Hollinger and Bobcats Respect

Posted by Sup on February 1, 2010

I have always tended to like the sabremetric type of analysis that John Hollinger of ESPN and others have tried to put on NBA basketball. It’s a tough thing to do, considering the unmeasurable factors of defense and the biggest variable, minutes. They certainly can be the cause of a good discussion about who’s better and gives us some tools to have the argument with.

I haven’t looked as much at his team PER ratings, and his weekly ranking of teams over on ESPN.com. So you can imagine my surprise when I stopped into the site today and found the Bobcats ranked #9 on his Power Rankings. This puts them firmly in the top half of the league, and ahead of teams like the Mavericks, Spurs, and tonight’s opponent, the Trailblazers.

Now this ranking method seems akin to the reading of cat entrails and tea leaves, but here’s the formula:

RATING = (((SOS-0.5)/0.037)*0.67) + (((SOSL10-0.5)/0.037)*0.33) + 100 + (0.67*(MARG+(((ROAD-HOME)*3.5)/(GAMES))) + (0.33*(MARGL10+(((ROAD10-HOME10)*3.5)/(10)))))

SOS = Season win/loss percentage of team’s opponents, expressed as a decimal (e.g., .500)

SOSL10 = Season win/loss percentage of team’s last 10 opponents, expressed as a decimal (e.g., .500)

MARG = Team’s average scoring margin

MARGL10 = Team’s average scoring margin over the last 10 games

HOME = Team’s home games

HOMEL10 = Team’s home games over the last 10 games

ROAD = Team’s road games

ROADL10 = Team’s road games over the last 10 games

GAMES = Team’s total games

The Bobcats’ rating is 103.385. The team at the top of the rankings, the Lakers, have a rating of 107.980.

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